Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 45.032888 51.757442 58.757270 66.555926 74.970882 83.748094 93.565987
2024-10-20 34.216354 43.526112 53.794438 65.827549 79.414590 94.163334 111.267009
2024-10-27 27.063419 37.431383 49.406796 63.984309 80.987964 99.956987 122.484791
2024-11-03 24.081737 35.607299 49.405298 66.682671 87.310009 110.762671 139.067782
2024-11-10 21.300839 33.589777 48.806279 68.354657 92.176947 119.708447 153.391427
2024-11-17 17.890496 30.328146 46.308704 67.402380 93.655102 124.497661 162.741454
2024-11-24 15.039131 27.452736 44.000773 66.418733 94.873497 128.807994 171.395866
2024-12-01 13.042902 25.520324 42.722908 66.568296 97.350932 134.528869 181.657090
2024-12-08 11.350167 23.819880 41.590909 66.768168 99.785490 140.126469 191.729086
2024-12-15 10.025402 22.514829 40.879075 67.421653 102.723089 146.297008 202.476289
2024-12-22 8.451301 20.606023 39.150078 66.571473 103.620773 149.868889 210.010294
2024-12-29 7.598324 19.789427 38.933017 67.734643 107.106462 156.659628 221.501189
2025-01-05 6.845259 19.072710 38.834305 69.069838 110.866487 163.882051 233.660059
2025-01-12 5.721523 17.514995 37.333416 68.332949 111.807521 167.499383 241.340771
2025-01-19 4.533633 15.613507 35.128525 66.444777 111.085831 168.906056 246.193723
2025-01-26 4.320853 15.679572 36.094530 69.207163 116.726164 178.550098 261.459833
2025-02-02 3.950029 15.346659 36.365903 70.918204 120.915983 186.323588 274.390109
2025-02-09 3.212093 14.043446 34.902097 69.943718 121.324989 189.128865 280.995061
2025-02-16 2.575394 12.822093 33.472560 68.937002 121.625926 191.749812 287.338921
2025-02-23 2.165333 12.075917 32.822172 69.090081 123.536398 196.483903 296.393107
2025-03-02 1.813257 11.393455 32.230362 69.294647 125.495746 201.273471 305.523663
2025-03-09 1.549652 10.897845 31.946603 69.963441 128.110261 206.939400 315.801636
2025-03-16 1.192693 9.967958 30.747727 69.093332 128.450033 209.521818 322.063507